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Mapletree Logistic VS Frasers Log & Com Trust

Writer's picture: Daniel LeeDaniel Lee

In this article, we’ll be doing a 1-vs-1 comparison between Mapletree Logistic Trust and Frasers Logistic Commercial Trust to see which counter is “better” for the provision of logistic exposure in a diversified REIT portfolio.


I will be comparing these two REITs based on the following criteria and coming out with a conclusion based on the assumption that I can only invest in either one of the REITs without any consideration of valuation:


If you are interested in a more in-depth analysis of either of the REITs, you can assess my independent analysis reports on my telegram channel:

*Join the channel click on the channel name under files download the report you want!


The article is best viewed on a desktop. Without further ado let’s get started.


 

1. Underlying Property Allocation

Frasers Log & Com Trust

Frasers Logistic & Commercial Trust is an industrial REIT that operates mainly across Australia and Europe. FLCT portfolio comprises a majority of logistic and industrial properties (70%) with a minor allocation of commercial properties (30%).



Mapletree Logistic Trust

Mapletree Logistic Trust is an industrial REIT that focuses on Asia logistics real estate. Overall, the trust has a diversified allocation across the countries within Asia, though the trust has a major allocation in Singapore, Hong Kong and China with over 60% allocation in these three countries.



Winner: FLCT

For the metrics of underlying properties, Mapletree Logistics Trust would be a better pick for a more diversified and pure logistic play.


However, with the current friendshoring trend and market outlook, I’d prefer FLCT’s geographical exposure even though they are more concentrated and have an allocation in commercial properties.



Depending on your views on the global logistic industry, either REIT would be a reasonable pick given the drastic difference in the geographical exposure and the role they have to play in a diversified portfolio.


 

2. Occupancy Rate & WALE

Frasers Log & Com Trust

Frasers Logistic & Commercial Trust’s occupancy rate and WALE have exhibited drastically different behaviour between the different sectors with the Logistic & Industrial sector essentially compensating for the underperformance of the Commercial properties.


This phenomenon is universal across the developed market as on one end, the trend of friendshoring is driving business back to their country of origin/operation thereby increasing the demand for industrial/logistic space.


On the other hand, the post-covid hybrid working environment has resulted in companies reducing their commercial space needs thereby driving down the occupancy rate of offices and commercial properties.



Mapletree Logistic Trust

Mapletree Logistics Trust’s occupancy rate and WALE have exhibited slight weakness in recent years mainly due to the headwinds experienced in their China properties.


That said, the management has acknowledged the ongoing trends and is actively making an effort to restructure their portfolio’s allocation to achieve a better geographical positioning. 



Winner: Tie

For the metrics of property resiliency, FLCT and MLT have exhibited similar behaviour of an overall weakness in recent years and therefore it is a tie.


While the headwinds experienced from both counters are different – Commercial properties for FLCT and China exposure for MLT – both REITs have seen a decrease in occupancy rate and WALE which is equally undesirable. 


 

3. Distribution Behaviour & Breakdown

Frasers Log & Com Trust

Frasers Logstic & Commercial Trust’s DPU from operations have experienced a consistent year-on-year decline. Coupled with an increase in Units in Issue, the DPU From Operations per unit has experienced over 20% from 2021 to 2024.


While the impact of this is not fully felt in the reported distribution, the DPU moving forward would inevitably reveal the true weakness once the one-off items such as divestment gains are absent.



Mapletree Logistic Trust

Mapletree Logistic Trust’s DPU from operations has exhibited decent growth from 2020 to 2023 but has since come down in 2024 due to the headwinds experienced in China. That said, MLT had still managed to grow their DPU from operations by 1.6% from 2020 to 2024 despite the dilution impact and headwinds experienced.



Winner: MLT

For the metrics of distribution behaviour and breakdown, the winner is MLT. Not barring the recent weakness in China, the management has exhibited a decent ability to grow their DPU from operations over the years which is absent in FLCT.


 

4. Balance Sheet Health

Frasers Log & Com Trust

Frasers Logistic & Commercial Trust's balance sheet health is relatively healthier than the majority of the REITs listed in Singapore and the management has displayed strong capabilities in their capital management strategy. This can be seen in their ability to manage their average cost of debt in the face of a higher for longer interest rate environment.



Mapletree Logistic Trust

On the other hand, Mapletree Logistic Trust’s balance sheet health is merely at an acceptable level. If we were to include the use of perpetual securities and treat it as debt, the health of the balance sheet might not be as desirable as the aggregate leverage have exceeded 40%.



Winner: FLCT

For the metrics of financial health, Frasers Logistic Commercial Trust is the clear winner in this category as their aggregate leverage is significantly lower than MLT and the management has displayed competency in their capital management strategy.


 

Overall Winner: Mapletree Logistic Trust

Without the consideration of valuation, if I could only invest in either Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust or Mapletree Logistic Trust, I’d have to go with Mapletree Logistic Trust, solely because the management has displayed a level of competency in their ability to deliver DPU growth before the headwinds experienced in their China properties.


That said, given the difference in the underlying geographical exposure, the behaviour of MLT is different from that of FLCT is vastly different and as such, a comparison between these two REITs may not be a good apple-to-apple comparison.


Ultimately, it depends on what your overarching strategy for your REIT portfolio is, your views for the global industrial (logistic) industry in the coming years and your game plan on how you intend to manage your portfolio to maximize your dividend yield and minimize your risk of capital losses.


I’ve written more extensively on my REIT investment methodology and how I go about designing, implementing and managing a profitable REIT portfolio for myself which you can grab a copy of for free here: 



If you are looking for personalized financial advice, I offer a 1-to-1, fee-only consultation where you will receive personalized strategies to design, implement and manage a profitable REIT portfolio. You can find out more about it here:


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Disclaimer:

This article is meant to be the opinion of the author

This article is for information purposes only

This article should not be seen as financial advice

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore


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